Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 1.094477 1.315061 1.592005 1.974562 2.505305 3.242484 4.398245
2026-02-08 0.793941 1.039030 1.391065 1.966120 2.958836 4.796883 9.157562
2026-02-15 0.627322 0.863468 1.231869 1.904700 3.269925 6.503395 18.556331
2026-02-22 0.545135 0.782041 1.178300 1.978064 3.878469 9.818511 54.260025
2026-03-01 0.478457 0.706884 1.108828 1.984479 4.355556 14.024510 225.722458
2026-03-08 0.421938 0.636464 1.027933 1.930724 4.642479 18.734509 2843.784562
2026-03-15 0.380929 0.585357 0.970884 1.908472 5.028266 26.377619 NaN
2026-03-22 0.363078 0.572182 0.984886 2.067942 6.285871 55.030562 NaN
2026-03-29 0.341979 0.549345 0.973227 2.155521 7.433183 120.363406 NaN
2026-04-05 0.317567 0.516629 0.933201 2.144911 8.124178 247.664986 NaN
2026-04-12 0.293119 0.480859 0.879922 2.074249 8.403178 476.342886 NaN
2026-04-19 0.277658 0.461165 0.860429 2.108307 9.520087 2970.165208 NaN
2026-04-26 0.266190 0.448598 0.856621 2.201189 11.475816 NaN NaN
2026-05-03 0.251249 0.427264 0.827885 2.193726 12.636341 NaN NaN
2026-05-10 0.235315 0.402296 0.786275 2.122332 13.018410 NaN NaN
2026-05-17 0.227197 0.393107 0.783641 2.208302 15.830325 NaN NaN
2026-05-24 0.216959 0.378317 0.763966 2.215842 17.776326 NaN NaN
2026-05-31 0.205329 0.359495 0.730914 2.152883 18.396388 NaN NaN
2026-06-07 0.195937 0.344873 0.707471 2.126856 19.830985 NaN NaN
2026-06-14 0.193576 0.345647 0.726654 2.313850 28.269626 NaN NaN
2026-06-21 0.188776 0.340440 0.728115 2.417000 36.904988 NaN NaN
2026-06-28 0.181453 0.328831 0.709293 2.404487 41.527858 NaN NaN
2026-07-05 0.173038 0.314122 0.679616 2.321268 41.981847 NaN NaN